Monday, November 19 Stroll through the Stats: MVP edition By David Schoenfield ESPN.com |
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After finishing second last season to Jeff Kent in the MVP voting, Barry Bonds made it easy this year for the writers to crown him the first four-time winner of the MVP award. And remember, when players such as Joe DiMaggio and Stan Musial became three-time winners, they did it in only an eight-team league. Bonds did it in a 16-team league. Bonds picked up 30 of 32 first-place votes after setting major-league records for home runs (73), slugging percentage (.863), walks (177), at-bats per home run (6.5) and the NL record for on-base percentage (.515). Not bad for a 37-year-old outfielder (only Willie Stargell and Dennis Eckersley were older MVP winners). Bonds now has four MVP awards and has also finished second twice (2000, 1991), fourth once (1994) and fifth twice (1996, 1997). How does that compare to other players in history? Bill James created a number called "Award Shares" that allows us to do this. An Award Share is the percentage of the total possible points available that a player receives in the MVP voting. For example, this year there were 448 total points available. Bonds received 438 points, which works out to an 0.98 Award Share. Sammy Sosa received 278 points, so his Award Share is 0.62. Thanks to the great folks at baseballreference.com, we can easily find calculated Award Shares for all top-10 finishes in the MVP voting. For instance, here is how Bonds does in his top-10 finishes: Year Finish Award Share 2001 1st 0.98 2000 2nd 0.62 1998 8th 0.14 1997 5th 0.31 1996 5th 0.33 1994 4th 0.36 1993 1st 0.94 1992 1st 0.90 1991 2nd 0.77 1990 1st 0.98 Total 6.33 What Award Shares does is "reward" a dominating MVP season. In all four of Bonds' MVP years, he collected 90 percent or more of the total points. That's impressive. Let's do another player. Stan Musial not only won three MVPs, but finished second four times. Here are his top-10 finishes: Year Finish Award Share 1943 1st 0.79 1944 4th 0.40 1946 1st 0.94 1948 1st 0.90 1949 2nd 0.67 1950 2nd 0.47 1951 2nd 0.56 1952 5th 0.37 1953 8th 0.18 1954 6th 0.28 1955 8th 0.13 1956 9th 0.18 1957 2nd 0.68 1962 10th 0.06 Total 6.61 Wow. Ten straight top-10 finishes? Wonder if anyone else has done that. Maybe Willie Mays? He won two MVPs. Let's check him out.
Year Finish Award Share 1954 1st 0.84 1955 4th 0.49 1957 4th 0.51 1958 2nd 0.55 1959 6th 0.25 1960 3rd 0.46 1961 6th 0.31 1962 2nd 0.72 1963 5th 0.36 1964 6th 0.23 1965 1st 0.80 1966 3rd 0.39 Total 5.91 Mays did indeed have 10 straight top-10 finishes, although his total Award Shares ranks behind Musial and Bonds. I checked all the three-time MVP winners and as many players as I could think of who might be above 3.00 career Award Shares. Here is a list of all-time leaders (again, top-10 finishes only). If anyone wants to calculate a comprehensive list, please do so and e-mail it along to me; I'll update this story on Tuesday. Stan Musial 6.61 Barry Bonds 6.33 Ted Williams 6.10 Willie Mays 5.91 Mickey Mantle 5.61 Joe DiMaggio 5.32 Lou Gehrig 5.32 Hank Aaron 4.90 Mike Schmidt 4.75 Frank Robinson 4.55 Frank Thomas 4.25 Brooks Robinson 3.90 Jimmie Foxx 3.70 Yogi Berra 3.63 Hank Greenberg 3.57 Pete Rose 3.36 Ken Griffey Jr. 3.11 Willie Stargell 3.06 Jim Rice 3.05 Roy Campanella 2.34
Tuesday afternoon update Laurence Hart was kind to update a list with players I omitted. His list was calculated like mine, including just top-10 finishes. Guys he mentioned above 3.00 include Eddie Collins (3.83), Charlie Gehringer (3.40), Rogers Hornsby (3.10), Mike Piazza (3.07) and Reggie Jackson (3.05). Several of you asked about Eddie Murray. He's at 3.33, including non-top-10 finishes. If we include non-to-10 finishes, Stan Musial is the all-time leader at 6.97. Others who move ahead of 3.00 are George Brett, Harmon Killebrew, Dave Parker and Joe Morgan. David Schoenfield is the baseball editor at ESPN.com. He can be reached at david.schoenfield@espn.com. |
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