Antowain Smith powers the Bills' ground game.

Bills (2-1) at Dolphins (2-0)
9 p.m. ET, ABC
Line: Dolphins by 4½
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Why to watch:
This is a rematch of a terrific AFC wild-card game from nine months ago, a 24-17 Dolphins' victory that ended in controversy. Bills WR Andre Reed was ejected for arguing what he thought was a touchdown catch with two minutes left. Buffalo will get its chance for revenge here, but the Bills will face a Miami defense that has been suffocating this season. The Dolphins are looking to remain unbeaten and stay close to the Patriots in the AFC East, but they will need a much better offensive effort than they had in their last game against Arizona.

Who to watch:
Bills WR Eric Moulds set an NFL-playoff record with 240 yards receiving in that Jan. 2 contest. He and Andre Reed will mix it up with physical Dolphins CBs Sam Madison, Terrell Buckley and Patrick Surtain. Bills RB Antowain Smith has been inconsistent, but he will need to run strong against Dolphins LB Zach Thomas and an excellent run defense. Bills QB Doug Flutie will try to break containment against Miami's speedy defensive line. Dolphins rookie RB Cecil Collins has provided a spark and looks to play a bigger role as he gets healthy. Dolphins LT Richmond Webb will try to keep Bills DE Bruce Smith away from QB Dan Marino.

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Dolphins' numbers to know:
Miami has converted just 31.8 percent (7-for-22) of its third-down opportunities. That figure is one of the worst in the AFC, bettering only Denver (25.0 percent), Baltimore (20 percent) and Cleveland (18.2 percent).

What it means:
Every divisional game in the ultra-competitive AFC East is important. With a victory here, the Dolphins can further establish that they are the team to beat in the division and perhaps the conference. The Bills can earn a share of revenge for their playoff loss last season and head into a two-game homestand on a three-game roll.

The Bills will run a lot of crossing patterns and pick plays because their receivers will see man-to-man coverage most of the time. The pick plays should be set up to create space and get the ball to Eric Moulds, the Bills' best playmaker in the open field. Dolphins cornerbacks Sam Madison and Terrell Buckley will get beat and keep coming back for more, talking big and playing big because they are confident players.

One way to attack the aggressive Dolphins corners is for the receivers to double-move them -- the receiver pushes upfield, stuttering slightly as a hesitation before getting into a go route behind the corner.

The Bills defense needs to get to Dan Marino's legs. They can't let Marino step into his throws. They need some good upfield push inside from nose guard Ted Washington. Expect the Bills to stunt inside with Bruce Smith. Marino won't beat anyone on the perimeter because he has no legs. So getting pressure inside on Marino will be important, and the way the Bills do that is with stunting and solid penetration from Washington.

Dolphins' game plan:
Marino will no longer be throwing 40 times a game. The Dolphins will get some good ground work from James Johnson, Cecil Collins and Karim Abdul-Jabbar. Miami's offensive line has improved and can go right at the Bills defense, playing physical football. The Dolphins now run to set up the pass, instead of the other way around. The whole Miami philosophy is to win on first down and get Marino in some short second- or third-down situations. Marino can beat teams if he's consistently throwing from second or third and short.

I expect a pretty good balance to the Dolphins offense. Also important will be getting the ball outside to Tony Martin, who can stretch the field. Marino will take his shots downfield to Martin, opening up mid-range routes to possession receiver O.J. McDuffie and tight end Troy Drayton.

The Miami defense has linebackers who can run as fast as any quarterback and linemen who can rush up the field, such as Jason Taylor. The key for the Dolphins defense will be to keep Flutie from making his moves between the tackles. The Dolphins will send a corner blitz from Flutie's back side. They will rush linebackers. It will be Flutie's strength against Miami's strength, which is speed.